Even though it took place in the midst of various controversies, the 2022 World Cup succeeded in becoming a memorable dish at the end of the year. At all times, news and news about match results and the latest dramas from the World Cup stage are released to the public. This has further increased the euphoria of the 2022 World Cup throughout the world.
In fact, the World Cup performance did not only attract the attention of football fans. Highly respected educational institutions like the University of Oxford also support and participate in this year’s World Cup. Because of his enthusiasm for participating in the tournament, Oxford has also released predictions about which team will win the competition. All the predictions they release are of course based on logical and scientific calculations.
Use a Mathematical Approach
Even though it seems like a mere fad, Oxford is preparing their predictions very seriously. To get an idea of the team that has the opportunity to win, they also don’t do it haphazardly. Oxford takes a mathematical simulation-based approach to making predictions.
The Oxford-style 2022 World Cup prediction was pioneered by Joshua Bull. Bull is an analyst and mathematician. Previously, in 2020 the Bulls were crowned winners of a fantasy football contest. He excelled over the 8 million participants who participated in the event. In an interview, Bull divulged in detail about his prediction method.
In the method he made, Bull said he focused on calculating the probability of a goal, ranking, to the quality of the team and players they have. This data will later be simulated thousands of times to produce computer instructions and mathematical calculations as a prediction. Apart from this year’s tournament, Oxford has also made observations and released predictions since 2018.
Winning percentage at the 2022 World Cup Using Math
Oxford Predicts Brazil Victory
After carrying out thousands of observations and simulations, Oxford now has a team of champions who are predicted to become champions. Yes, Oxford predicts that the 2022 World Cup winner will be a team from the CONCACAF zone, aka South America. The team is Brazil.
In the review presented by the Sport Bible, Oxford also explained about England’s opportunities this year. England is predicted not to win the World Cup this year. Of the 32 national teams involved, England is in eleventh position with a 3.41 percent chance. However, England have ensured that they will qualify for the last 16 so they still have a chance to break this prediction.
For Brazil itself, Oxford says the samba team is superior with a chance of 14.72 percent. This prediction might come true because while competing in Qatar, Brazil did show extraordinary competitiveness and resilience. Brazil’s consistency has now led them to occupy a place in the upcoming round of 16 matches. Apart from Brazil, which is predicted to climb to the top position, the Oxford model also says that Argentina is in second place. In succession, the Netherlands, Spain and France are in the top five for the 2022 World Cup according to Oxford.
Until this news was written, all the teams that were included in the Oxford version of the favorites list had been confirmed to qualify for the knockout phase. France as the defending champion is the first team to qualify for the last 16 in this year’s tournament. Meanwhile, Qatar as the mainstay of the host team certainly has to bury dreams of going further on their own sometimes. Since the beginning of the tournament, they have indeed shown unsatisfactory results. Oxford’s own prediction seems to be quite similar to predictions that have been released by other football experts.
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